Polling Shows Rep. Boebert’s Race In Jeopardy

Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R-CO) lead in her race for reelection has all but vanished according to a just-released poll. Colorado’s 3rd District appeared solidly in the freshman congresswoman’s hands as recently as July, but no more.

The survey by Keating Research showed that multi-millionaire Democrat Adam Frisch’s deficit among likely district voters is only 47% to 45%. That is a dramatic improvement from July, when the same poll gave the incumbent a 49% to 42% advantage.

Frisch is a former Aspen city councilman who bills himself as a moderate and aligns with President Joe Biden. And though the district has historically been in Republican hands, unaffiliated voters surveyed chose Frisch over Boebert by 57% to 32%.

The telephone poll has a margin of error of 4.4%. Of the respondents, 37% identified as unaffiliated and 36% as Republicans.

This is troubling for the GOP since 44% of the district’s electorate is unaffiliated.

Other data from the survey showed that Boebert’s unfavorable rating rose 5% since July to 49% of respondents. Concurrently, the numbers showed Frisch’s unfavorability at 28%.

Latino voters comprise 25% of the district, and the Democratic challenger carried a 15-point lead among respondents in this group.

Republican analysts, however, are not so quick to throw in the towel. National Republican Congressional Committee spokeswoman Courtney Parella told Colorado Politics that Democrats do not stand a chance of carrying the 3rd District.

Parella declared that Colorado’s oil and gas industry has been attacked by Democrats and cited national economic struggles for turning off voters to Frisch.

A similar observation came from former state GOP chairman Dick Wadhams, who asserted that the poll is simply not accurate. Boebert, he said, has a very solid base of support and her opponent hails from the leftist ski region that is far removed from most of the district.

It is not good news for the GOP to see the Democrat making up ground in his race to unseat Boebert. This is met with a healthy dose of skepticism by those familiar with the area, however, and chances are still good that a solidly Republican seat will remain that way next month.