
As the 2024 election draws near, Pennsylvania is witnessing a remarkable shift toward Republican support, with 63 of its 67 counties now leaning Republican. This trend has been fueled by a combination of economic struggles under the Biden-Harris administration and the tireless work of conservative activists.
The recent rally in Butler, attended by approximately 60,000 supporters, signals a resurgence of Republican enthusiasm in a state that is pivotal for presidential elections. With Biden’s exit from the race, Democrats have been challenged to maintain their base, as voter enthusiasm has significantly waned.
The data is striking: since 2020, the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania has seen a loss of 295,182 registered voters. Political analysts note that this decline poses a significant hurdle for Vice President Kamala Harris, who must outperform Biden’s narrow 81,000-vote victory in 2020 to secure the state.
Paul Sracic, a political scientist, highlighted that both parties are under pressure, stating, “Given how close 2020 was, she can’t have any bad news — neither side can.” This sentiment is echoed in recent polling, which indicates Trump gaining support, even in deep blue areas like Philadelphia.
Trafalgar/Insider Advantage polling suggests Trump holds a slight lead in Pennsylvania, with a projected margin of over two points. This development has invigorated Republican hopes as they aim for a strong performance in the upcoming election.